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Basketball itself is simple, as are the bets on it, the strategy can be a little confusing at times, especially knowing where to begin. You’ll probably develop your own strategy to beat the books in the end, but we can help by providing some pointers to get you started on your way to “making some serious coin.”.
Paying Attention To The Points
When looking at consistency, it is important to pay attention to how a team makes the majority of their points. A team that relies heavily on 3-pointers is fantastic, but it’s much easier to go cold on 3-pointers than it is on posting up and driving to the basket.
Teams that prioritize points in the paint will be more consistent and less susceptible to cold streaks. Keep this in mind when picking game winners or making bracket bets for the basketball tournaments.
Examine the Team’s Schedule
Basketball teams’ success is heavily influenced by fatigue. Teams play a lot of games, and their schedules vary, often with multiple games throughout the week, unlike football. Consider how many games the team has recently played and whether they are on a long road trip or something similar. When a team plays its fourth game in five days, you can bet they’ll be tired, which means they’ll be slower and less likely to perform well.
The location of these games is also important to consider, as away/road games will undoubtedly sap a team’s energy. Consider how far they must travel for their games. If they have to travel cross-country for every game, the travel will be even more taxing. You should also consider where they are in their season, as the effects of this don’t usually become apparent until after the first quarter of the season. The later in the season it is, the more of an issue this will be and the more opportunities it will provide for you.
Road Favorites
A popular betting strategy is to look for teams that are favored in their next game after being blown out in their previous game. These teams are clearly talented enough to be favored on the road after a significant loss, indicating that they have a lot of actual talent and substance that the oddsmakers still like.
These teams will be fired up as well after being humiliated. In the last ten years, teams that have been blown out by 15 points or more and are still road favorites in their next game have covered the spread more than 60% of the time.
Underdogs at Home
Nobody enjoys losing at home in front of their own fans. This appears to be the case in basketball as well. When teams are big underdogs (10+ points) at home, they have a strong tendency to cover the spread.
A lot of this is due to the emotional desire to impress at home, and a lot of it is due to the other team usually letting off when they’re up by a large margin. They’ll start second-stringers and rest their big names because it doesn’t matter how many points they win, only that they win. Even though we care about the spread, the players do not. To them, a win is a win, and a loss is a loss.
Look out for Moving Lines
Recognizing that there are experts out there who are practical geniuses at sports betting is one of the best ways to dominate any type of sports betting. If you’re one of them, this won’t bother you as much, but it’s always useful to know what the other experts are up to. If you see a line moving in one direction after the public has bet heavily in the opposite direction, you are most likely witnessing the experts taking advantage of the uneducated public.
Betting FAQs
How Do I Interpret NBA Odds?
To read NBA odds, you must first understand NBA spreads. Spreads, also known as NBA lines, are figures set by oddsmakers to offer reasonable odds on both sides of an NBA game’s outcome. For each game, betting sites set three main betting lines: a point spread, a total, and a moneyline.
How Should NBA Games Be Handicapped?
Consistent research and game watching are the best ways to handicap NBA games. This can help you identify trends for future games or for live betting. To get started, read our How To Bet NBA guide, or look at NBA consensus picks for more information on how to handicap NBA odds today.
What does +1.5 indicate when betting on basketball?
A +1.5 next to a team’s name indicates that they are the 1.5-point underdogs in that game.
What does +2.5 indicate when betting on basketball?
The team that is the underdog has a positive value (+) in front of its point spread, and to win the wager, it must either win outright or suffer a loss that is smaller than that spread.
PIWI247 Sports Powered by Pinnacle Sports offers some of the winning basketball betting strategy suggestions as a starting point for developing your overall betting strategy. Keep in mind that they are meant to be a component of your overall strategy, not the entire strategy. These tips should complement your own strategies and help to direct how your mind works to develop your strategy. Basically, don’t rely solely on one of the tips below to place your bets. Use them as part of a larger betting strategy based on your knowledge base.
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Kyle Daly
Is a 35-year-old sportswriter who enjoys walking, jogging, and other physical sports. He started in different blogging platforms and is now a guest blogger for PIWI247. He loves basketball the most. Follow him on Quora today.
